The capex question
FCF subtracts all capex; owner earnings subtracts only maintenance capex, what's needed just to stand still.
Owner earnings and free cash flow both try to capture the real cash a business generates, but owner earnings (Buffett's measure) subtracts only maintenance capex, while standard free cash flow subtracts total capex. The difference is growth capex: free cash flow penalizes a company for investing to grow, whereas owner earnings tries to isolate just the spending needed to maintain the current business.
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FCF = operating cash flow - total capex. Owner earnings ≈ net income + D&A - maintenance capex. For a company spending heavily to grow, FCF understates the true earning power; owner earnings corrects for it - but estimating maintenance capex is judgment, not a line item.
FCF subtracts all capex; owner earnings subtracts only maintenance capex, what's needed just to stand still.
Owner earnings flatters growth investments (it adds growth capex back); FCF is the conservative, fully-auditable number.
FCF is a clean formula off the cash flow statement. Owner earnings needs an estimate of maintenance capex, more insight, less objectivity.
He preferred owner earnings because GAAP earnings and even FCF can misstate the cash a long-term owner actually gets to keep.
A company generates $500M of operating cash flow and spends $300M on capex, but $200M of that is building new capacity (growth), and only $100M is maintaining existing assets. Standard FCF is $500M − $300M = $200M. Owner earnings, subtracting only the $100M maintenance capex, is roughly $400M.
FCF makes the business look half as cash-generative as it really is, because it penalizes the company for investing to grow. Owner earnings tries to show the underlying machine. The catch: splitting capex into maintenance vs growth is an estimate, so owner earnings trades some objectivity for a truer picture.
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