BTX
BlackRock Technology and Private Equity Term Trust (BTX) currently pays a dividend yield of 9.3% with an FCF payout ratio of 10.2%. Dividend safety isn't about the yield - high yields often signal stress - it's about whether free cash flow comfortably covers the payment. The full coverage analysis is below. Educational only, not investment advice.
FCF payout coverage. BlackRock Technology and Private Equity Term Trust's free-cash-flow payout ratio is 10.2%. Below 60% is comfortable - the business is keeping at least 40% of cash for reinvestment, debt reduction, or buybacks. Between 60-90% is workable but tighter; above 90% leaves no buffer, which is where dividend cuts become a real risk during a downturn.
Earnings vs FCF. The traditional payout ratio (dividends / earnings) sits at 429.6%. Compared against the FCF payout ratio above, large gaps indicate one of two things: accounting earnings being inflated by non-cash items (FCF payout much higher than earnings payout - red flag) or aggressive cash management lifting near-term FCF (FCF payout much lower than earnings payout - sometimes a sign of working-capital releases that won't repeat).
Growth track record. BlackRock Technology and Private Equity Term Trust's 5-year dividend CAGR is n/a. Consistent growth across at least one downturn is the gold standard - it means management treats the dividend as a commitment, not a discretionary outflow. A 5-year track record without a cut during the last recession is much stronger evidence than a high current yield.
La sécurité du dividende n'est pas le rendement - un rendement élevé signale souvent du stress. C'est la couverture : le free cash-flow couvre-t-il confortablement le dividende avec de la marge ? Le score de sécurité du dividende invest-like pondère trois signaux : ratio de distribution FCF (sous 60% est confortable ; au-dessus de 90% est fragile), ratio de distribution des bénéfices (moins fiable que le FCF parce que les écritures comptables peuvent masquer les déficits de trésorerie), et historique de croissance du dividende (CAGR 5 ans constant vs coupes lors du dernier ralentissement).
Éducatif uniquement - même un dividende noté A peut être coupé demain par une seule décision du conseil. Nous mesurons la capacité financière documentée à maintenir le versement, pas une prédiction de l'intention du management.
Analyse de cadre éducative uniquement. Ce n'est pas un conseil en investissement, ni une recommandation, ni personnalisé à ta situation. Fais toujours tes propres recherches.